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Validation/Reconstruction of the Sunspot Number Record, 1841-2007

Validation/Reconstruction of the Sunspot Number Record, 1841-2007 E.W. Cliver Air Force Research Laboratory, Space Vehicles Directorate, Hanscom AFB, MA L. Svalgaard

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Validation/Reconstruction of the Sunspot Number Record, 1841-2007

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  1. Validation/Reconstruction of the Sunspot Number Record, 1841-2007 E.W. Cliver Air Force Research Laboratory, Space Vehicles Directorate, Hanscom AFB, MA L. Svalgaard Easy Tool Kit, Inc., Houston, TX IUGG July 2007

  2. Sunspot Number (SSN) Applications • Solar Dynamo • Space Weather/Climate • Cosmic Ray Modulation • Climate Change

  3. Two SSN Series RINT: 1700 - 2007 (SIDC/ROB) RG : 1610 - 1995 (Hoyt & Schatten, 1998)

  4. SSN Dec HF Ellis (1898) SSN correlated with daily range of geomagnetic elements

  5. SR Ionospheric Current System (Torta et al., 1997) SR at Hobarton (1848)

  6. Wolf (1875) used the SSN-daily range relationship to adjust the SSN for years before 1848 Rudolf Wolf

  7. Step 1 Show that over extended periods of time (decades, centuries) constant, stable relationships exist between rY at stations such as Niemegk and Honolulu that are widely separated in longitude and latitude.

  8. Step 2 Link together observations of the regular variation observed at long-term stations (normalizing to Niemegk and using Oslo to bridge the gaps for early years) to obtain the variation of SRsince 1840

  9. Step 3 Relate average rY to RINT ( & F10.7)

  10. Step 3 (continued) The daily range rY is highly correlated with RINT& F10.7 at all phases of the sunspot cycle

  11. Step 4 Use the RINTvs. rY relationship to obtain a new SSN series back to 1840

  12. Step 5 Obtain correction factors for each cycle for the International and Group SSN series

  13. Provisional SSN Series: Cycles 10 & 11 comparable to 22 & 23

  14. Work in Progress • Strengthen 1840-present series • Extend before 1840 • Determine causes of jumps in 1893 & 1945 • Determine effect of Earth’s decreasing • dipole (~10% since 1840)

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