Modern Trends in Information Technology

1. Modern Trends in Information Technology Dr. Lloyd Brooks, Professor Management Information Systems The University of MemphisInformation and Economic Growth ConferenceMoscow, Russia November 2006

2. Trends Shaping the Future • World’s Population Doubles in 40 Years • Developed Countries Population Living Longer • Undeveloped Countries Faster Birth Rate • Global Economy More Integrated • Economy and Society Dominated by Technology Applications • Pace of Technology Development Increasing at a Faster Rate • Source: World Future Society

3. Largest Population Growth in Undeveloped Countries • Palestinian Territory – 217% • Niger – 205% • Yemen – 168% • Angola – 162% • Republic of the Congo – 161% • Uganda – 133% • Developed and Industrialized Countries to See Declines in Population Due to Low Fertility Rates • Source: World Future Society

4. Search Engine Trend • Google Number 1 – Started in 1998 • Yahoo/AOL Searches Routed to Google • 88% of All Searches Use Google • 200 Million Searches Per Day • 6 Billion Pages Stored on the Web • Microsoft Announced a Challenge to Google to be Initiated in 2007

5. Speed and Power Growth • Processing Speed • 2 times every 18 months • Storage Space • 2 times ever 9 months • Fiber Optics • 2 times every 6 months • Internet Traffic • 2 times every 12 months Source: U. S. News and World Report

6. Wireless Phones to Increase • 125 million cell phone subscribers in India, or three times the number of landlines in the country. By 2010, half of the nation's 1.1 billion people will be connected by cell phone. (The Washington Post NewspaperOctober 2006)

7. Privacy – A Thing of the Past • Sensor networks, robots and biological chips would leave network management, health care and many household tasks to machines. Every moment of your life would be preserved on video.

8. Computers More Prevalent • Today's PDAs (personal digital assistants) make early supercomputers look like stone knives and bear skins. Fifteen years ago, e-mail was not indispensable.

9. Internet Statistics • $2.6 Billion to Clean Up Code Red Virus • 7.9 Million Personal Visits From Work Per Month • Online Gaming Growing to $14 Billion by 2008 • 60.7 % of Workers Use Web for Personal Use • 32 % Bought a Holiday Gift Online • Based on USA Statistics

10. Internet Statistics • “Sex” is the Number 1 Search Term • Workers Spend 21 Hours at Work and 9.5 Hours at Work on Internet Each Week • 32.6 % of Workers Have No Objective While Surfing the Internet • 31 % of Employers Restrict Internet Use • 82 % of Businesses Believe Internet Use Should Be Monitored (Business Week Magazine 2006)

11. IT Trends • Security technologies, including biometrics • “Intelligent" machines and robots that respond to human needs and patterns • Source: Harvard Business School Cyberposium

12. Comparative Market Share by Technology Biometrics Market Share Source: [http://www.ict.tuwien.ac.at/skripten/Penzhorn] article by Dr. W. Z. Penzhorn

13. Global Positioning Systems • Direct Auto Driving • Integrated into Cell Phone • Keep Up With Children • Keep Up With Spouse • Disney Phoneis Available Now

14. Keyboard of the Future • Half the size of your average deck of cards • Sits wirelessly on any flat surface • Projects a red standard QUERTY-layout keyboard on any flat opaque surface. Watches” your fingers hit the key locations it has projected, and then sends the keystrokes through to your PDA or PC Available Now

15. Hands-Free Remote Control “Increase Volume” “Change to Channel 3” “Record” Remembers Favorite Channels Remembers 54 Different Voice Commands Recognizes 4 Voices

16. Bill Gates Introduces the Tablet PC May change the way that notes are taken

17. Future Movie Watching Connects (wireless) to any video source – PC, DVD, TV and so forth Uses two AA batteries and sells for $499 – Available Now

18. Energy Management • Check HVAC system remotely • Wireless plumbing leak remote detection • PDA to remotely check home temperature • PDA to review what is taking place in the home – spying on the nanny or at-home wife • Source: International Data Corporation

19. Smart Appliances • Microwave with 400 recipes • Refrigerator that recognizes sour milk • Alarm clock communicates with coffee maker • Source: Microsoft Network

20. Moore’s Law • In 1965, when Intel was developing the first microprocessor, company cofounder Gordon Moore predicted that the number of transistors on a microprocessor would double approximately every 18 months. To date, Moore's law has proven remarkably accurate. In 2003, Moore predicted that his law will last until at least 2013. Speed to exceed 98 GHz by 2013.

21. IT Trends • USA Government may add taxes on Internet trade. Current moratorium to expire. Look for possible E-Tax system by 2008.

22. Phones 2013 • Phones will be low-powered, lightweight, ear-mounted, and equipped with one follow-you phone number. It will connect to the Net via the PDA.

23. Writing Pens 2013 • As you write with your pen, it captures your scrawled messages and beams them to your PDA or your tube rollup monitor.

24. PDA 2013 • The PDA of the future will connect to the Net and replace money, keys, credit cards, and remotes.

25. PDA Agent ID 2013 • By using new scanning technology that verifies the user's thumb-print, the PDA will open doors to cars, homes, and offices. It will secure access to your personal databases, such as online medical records, and guarantee their privacy.

26. Laptop 2013 • The laptop with voice recognition will make keyboards obsolete and a rollout LCD screen permits the monitor to scroll.

27. Computers 2013 • Computer displays and TV monitors are replaced by one lightweight, flat LCD panel that can be placed on a desk or hung on a wall. Your PDA pulls up your personal desktop configuration for work or for play.

28. Medical Diagnosis 2013 • A camera and LCD screen analyze skin color and provide a real-time link to doctors. "Point-at-what-hurts" interaction aids diagnosis. The device lets you monitor your parents' health, too

29. E-Map 2013 • Electronic ink and GPS combine to provide a lightweight moving map that displays your exact location in all terrains.

30. Seating 2013 • Chairs will be made of a gel that conforms to your body shape and will be matched to human tissue to provide a subtle massaging. • People will be able to heat and cool their chair and change its configurations for perching, lounging, and sitting.

31. Connectivity 2013 • Most electrical appliances connected to Web - machine to machine communication. • Washing machine using too much water—message sent electronically to Maytag that arepair is needed.

32. Cable 2013 • Television will contain a hard disk to record shows—1 terabyte of space to store hundreds of hours of high-definition programming. • Shows can be seen when you want to see them—not just when they are transmitted. • Entertainment sold as a pay-per-view fee or as a monthly subscription.

33. Identification 2013 • Radio-frequency identification tags (RFID) to keep track of inventory and payment. RFID chips are the size of a grain of rice and will sell for one cent. • People will bag the products and a RFID will total the products and deduct from your RFID credit card in your wallet. • RFID will mark the beginning of the end for paper cash money.

34. Communications 2013 • Reliable speech recognition will allow computers, phones, and household appliances to understand spoken commands. • Commands such as “Car, how far to the next gas station?” will be common.

35. Questions and Comments