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Large wind fluctuations

Increased demand for spinning reserve. Decreased predictability. Large power fluctuations. Large wind fluctuations. Prediction errors in day-ahead spot market forecasts. Large concentration of turbines offshore. Financial penalties. 6X6 SOMs array of weather categories.

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Large wind fluctuations

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  1. Increaseddemand for spinning reserve Decreasedpredictability Large power fluctuations Large windfluctuations Predictionerrorsin day-ahead spot marketforecasts Large concentration of turbines offshore Financial penalties

  2. 6X6 SOMs array of weathercategories Daily MSLP patterns 1990-2009 ERA-Interimreanalysis (ECMWF) Highriskweatherpatterns for severewindvariability Localwind speed 2000-2003 Horns Rev M2 Severevariabilitydays at Horns Rev

  3. Horizontalgridspacing: 54 km, 18 km, 6 km, 2 km Domains 1-3: Kain-Fritschcumulusparametrisation Domain 4: Nocumulusparametrisation

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