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INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS

INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS. 12 th UAP National Convention Pasay City Philippines. GLOBAL TRENDS. “It is not a matter of predicting the future, but of being prepared for it” Pericles (500-429 BC) Greek politician and commander. April 2012. Gaëtan Siew UIA P President.

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INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS

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  1. INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS 12th UAP National Convention Pasay City Philippines GLOBALTRENDS “It is not a matter of predicting the future, but of being prepared for it” Pericles (500-429 BC) Greek politician and commander April 2012 Gaëtan Siew UIA P President

  2. INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Global Trends • The World • World of Contrasts • Urban World • Mobile world • Refuge Blocks • Global players • Global issues /Crisis • Global Imbalances • Global Trends • Mobility • Digital Era • Identity –Culture • Lessons ? • Innovate. Integrate.Inspire Key Points

  3. INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS A World of Contrasts Rich/poor Knowledge Digital Fracture • Philippines • 101,8 m population • 75,0 m mobiles • 15,8 m tv • 29,7 m internet • 27,0 m Facebook • World • 7,0 bn population • 5,6 bn mobiles • 1,4 bn tv • 2,5 bninternet • 0,8 bn Facebook Sao Paulo, Brazil Jodhpur, India • North– Old and Fragile • South – Young and Poor • South 90% < 25 years

  4. INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS An Urban World • Population m • Tokyo 35.2 • Jakarta 22,0 • Bombay 21,2 • Delhi 21,0 • Manila 20,8 • New York 20,6 • Sao Paulo 20,2 • Seoul 19,9 • Mexico 18,7 • Shanghai 18.4 • Cairo 17,3 An Urban World • PUB b € • Tokyo 1 191 • New York 1 133 • Los Angeles 639 • Paris 460 • Chicago 460 • Londres 452 • Osaka-Kobe 341 • Mexico 315 • Philadelphia 312 • Washington 299 Sao Paulo, Brazil • The World • 2007 : > 50% urban population • Monster or sustainable cities ? • + 3 b people in South Cities by 2050 • 500 000 slum dwellers /month • Heritage at risk

  5. INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS A World of mobility • Brain drain/ Brain gain • Villesconcurrentes A Mobile World People – Ideas - Goods Nomads , Mali • 6 % The world Population – 2008 • 2020 : 15% of EU population from Africa • Delocalisation v/s immigration • Climaterefugees • Mass tourism • Retired living 2 summers • Expats for Creativecities Hanoi, Vietnam

  6. INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS A World of refuge blocks Diversity Regionalisation • By Region • By Culture • By Trade • By Geopolitics • By Vector/Medium

  7. INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS A World of Global Players Networks Power Multinationals World Finance Civil Society NGOs • China : S Mall++ • India: Cinema ++ • Dubai: Towerr ++ • Mexico: Richest Man ++ • 2009 • Aspen : • Africa >>> Germany • New kind of economy • based on networks • New principles • New ways of creating values • Emerging nations • BRICS + CIVETS • 2011 : FDI 78 000 billions US$ • Global Entreprises • Exxon – Apple – Toyota - Nokia • Vectors of norms

  8. INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS A World of Global Issues and Crisis Climate Change Cultural Diversity Economic Crisis Food crisis Land ownership • 5 Questions • World crisis or temporary discomfort ? • US diminishing presence? • Chinese growth continues? • EU Implosion or Consensus? • Arab spring Explosion or New Democracy? Climate refugees Bangladesh Abandoned city Texas, USA

  9. INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Global Trends Technological progress Global imbalances Health and Pandemias Increasing Mobility Environment Decline Identity v/s Globalisation

  10. INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Specific Trends for the Trade Asymmetrical Market Sustainability Opportunities Retired population market Mass Tourism Cultural projects Louvre Abu Dhabi

  11. INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Specific Trends for the Profession Asymmetrical Market Sustainability Opportunities From 1,5 to 3m architects 2015: Over 50% women architects • 2010 • China • 1 m² out of 2 m² • 50% of the 70%

  12. INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Specific Trends for the Profession • N America 1,2 %, Exporters • West EU 1,8 %, • East EU 4,5 %, • Asia 6,1 %, • M East • Africa 4,2 %, • 2010 • TOP SECTORS of the top 10 firms • Business Parks 930m$ • Education 429m$ • Cultural 124m$ • Criminal Justice 113m$ • Defence 45m$ • S America 3,9 %, • US 2007 international architectural fees = 2,8 billions €

  13. INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Specific Trends for the Profession Outsourcing • India 4 %, of all IT Services • Growth 8% to 20% in 2010

  14. INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Global Trends : MOBILITY - PIG : People – Ideas - Goods Choking cities Jakarta – Up to 10h/day India - $6b/year Mobility Air Travel Intermodal container Cyberspace Global hubs 2020: 1,6 b tourists 2010: $ 460 b remittance - 230 m people • Urban mobility • Management models • MIT + Singapore Bogota TransMilenio 400km by 2012 Curitiba – 1100 km : 2m pax HNI : with nomad tools 2015: 600 m living 2 summers

  15. INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Global Trends : DIGITAL ERA Digital Era Death of distance? Mobility accelerator New organisation of space • Increased productivity/efficiency • Online database • Health identifier • Distance learning • Exchange accelerator • Mobile meteo for African farmers • Internet / Facebook revolution • Wikileaks : Big brother II

  16. INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Global Trends : IDENTITY - CULTURE Identity - Culture Bilbao • March 2011 • Rio carnival • Francophony day • Haiku – World Poetry Day Singapore –National Art Gallery • Hybrid/Fusion = Innovation

  17. INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Lessons ? Think outside the box • New Model • Connecting mobilities, affinities, identities, languages • Understanding a globalized, integrated, collaborative world • Sharing new mobility (knowledge/resources) • Designing necessity into beauty

  18. INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Shi Shei Gratias Obrigado Merci Spasiba Thank you Shoukran Gaëtan Siew Past President

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