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Risks to Global Outlook

Risks to Global Outlook. Inter American Development Bank Meeting October 19, 2006 Desmond Lachman American Enterprise Institute. U.S. Household Savings and Debt Service Payments. % of disposable personal income. US Current Account Balance and Real Effective Exchange Rate.

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Risks to Global Outlook

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  1. Risks to Global Outlook Inter American Development Bank Meeting October 19, 2006 Desmond Lachman American Enterprise Institute

  2. U.S. Household Savings and Debt Service Payments % of disposable personal income

  3. US Current Account Balance and Real Effective Exchange Rate Sources: Haver Analytics; International Financial Statistics; Lane and Milesi-Ferreti (2006); and Fund staff estimates.

  4. Financing of US Current Account Deficit Sources: Haver Analytics; International Financial Statistics; Lane and Milesi-Ferreti (2006); and Fund staff estimates.

  5. China Current Account Balance as a Percent of GDP, 1994-2006F

  6. Relative Unit Labor Costs in Europe Italy, France and Germany Unit Labor Cost trends Italy +22% since 2000 France +11% since 2000 Germany -5% since 2000 Source: OECD, last observation Q2 2006

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