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Prediction of hourly and daily diffuse fraction using neural network, as compared to linear regression models. Presenter : Fen-Rou Ciou Authors : Hamdy K. Elminir , Yosry A. Azzam , Farag I. Younes 2007,ENERGY. Outlines. Motivation Objectives Methodology Experiments
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Prediction of hourly and daily diffuse fraction using neural network, as compared to linear regression models Presenter : Fen-Rou CiouAuthors : Hamdy K. Elminir, Yosry A. Azzam, Farag I. Younes2007,ENERGY
Outlines • Motivation • Objectives • Methodology • Experiments • Conclusions • Comments
Motivation • For most of the locations all over Egypt the records of diffuse radiation in whatever scale are non-existent. • In case that it exists, the quality of these records is not as good as it should be for most purposes and so an estimate of its values is desirable.
Objectives • To achieve such a task, an artificial neural network (ANN) model has been proposed to predict diffuse fraction (KD) in hourly and daily scale.
Methodology • It can predict the KD value in hourly and daily scales base on KT and S / S0 • In hourly scale, the input layer has five individual inputs. • In daily scale, the input layer has three input.
Experiments – In daily scale Gopinathan and Solar’s Model ANN’s Model
Experiments – In daily scale Gopinathan and Solar’s Model ANN’s Model
Conclusions • These findings show that the neural network is more suitable to predict diffuse fraction than the proposed regression models at least for the Egyptian sites.
Comments • Advantages • Let me relearn statistics. • Applications • Prediction diffuse fraction