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China Dimension: Climate Change Policy

China Dimension: Climate Change Policy. Dr. Lele ZOU, assistant professor Institute of Policy and Management, CAS July, 2010. Institute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences. Climate change and socio-economic complex system analysis

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China Dimension: Climate Change Policy

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  1. China Dimension: Climate Change Policy Dr. Lele ZOU, assistant professor Institute of Policy and Management, CAS July, 2010

  2. Institute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences • Climate change and socio-economic complex system analysis • Interdisciplinary systems modelling and policy simulation Mitigation, adaptation, interaction, impacts, vulnerability, risks… Economic / Social: economic growth and structure, macro- and micro- costs, jobs, behaviours, etc.; Sectors / Regions: power, oil, transportation, residents, etc.; Historical / Projection: historical trends, impact factors, international comparison, roadmaps, etc.; Measures / Mechanism: cap-and-trade, carbon fees, industrial, etc.

  3. Communication channels General Office of the State Council National Development and Reform Commission State Energy Bureau Ministry of Science and Technology Leading group on climate change and emission reduction Ministry of Land and Resources State Electricity Regulatory Commission Ministry of Environmental Protection Ministry of finance • Ecological Economics • Environmental Modelling and Software • Environmental Impact Assessment Review • Energy Economics • Energy Policy • Energy • Journal of Policy Modeling • Technical Forecasting and Social Change • International Journal of Global Energy Issues

  4. Coal-dominated energy consumption General China Energy Plan Consumption: 2.7 billion tce; Annual growth rate 4% Production: 2.45 billion tce; Annual growth rate 3.5%

  5. General China energy/emission plan The Eleventh Five-Year Plan • For the first time, includes an input indicator as a constraint – requiring that energy use per unit of GDP is cut by 20% (4.4% cut per year) • CO2 reduction 3.6 hundred million tons totally Long-Term Target • 40%-45% reduction in CO2 emissions per unit of GDP by 2050

  6. Policies of mitigating climate change Technology Research and Development Sequestration Alternative energy Energy efficiency • Capture and Storage • Carbon sink • Renewable energy • Distribution • Utilization Policy supports Structure adjustment Investment Emission trading • Low carbon technology • Capacity building • Industrial • Energy • Allowance • ETS

  7. Climate change policy of China Pivot fields of coping climate change • Emission Reduction • Energy production and conversion • Improve energy efficiency • Industry processes • Agriculture • Forestry • Urban wastes • Adaptation • Agriculture • Forestry and ecosystem • Water resource • Coastal area

  8. Pivot Energy Technology in the 11th Five-Year Plan

  9. Climate change policy of China Requirements in international cooperation • Technology transfer and cooperation • Observation and monitoring • Emission reduction • Adaptation • Capacity building • human resource • Adaptation capacity • Public awareness • Information management • Decision and Publicity mechanism

  10. Thanks & Questions Dr. Lele Zou joyslele@vip.sina.com Tel: +86-10-6254 0787 www.casipm.ac.cn

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