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Summary of MAP D-PHASE Strategy and Requirements

MAP D-PHASE / Olympics Project Meeting 6 February 2006 Prepared by: Ron McTaggart-Cowan. Summary of MAP D-PHASE Strategy and Requirements. Outline. Summary of 1 st MAP D-PHASE Science Meeting (November 2006, Vienna, Austria) Deliverables for MAP D-PHASE Test Period (Feb 2007)

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Summary of MAP D-PHASE Strategy and Requirements

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  1. MAP D-PHASE / Olympics Project Meeting 6 February 2006 Prepared by: Ron McTaggart-Cowan Summary of MAP D-PHASE Strategy and Requirements

  2. Outline • Summary of 1st MAP D-PHASE Science Meeting (November 2006, Vienna, Austria) • Deliverables for MAP D-PHASE • Test Period (Feb 2007) • DOP (1 June - 30 November 2007) • Status of EC contribution to MAP D-PHASE • Relationship to Olympics Project • Status of Olympics Project

  3. MAP D-PHASE Summary of MAP D-PHASE • MAP Demonstration of Probabilistic Hydrological and Atmospheric Simulation of flood Events in the alpine region • A Forecast Demonstration Project of the WWRP • Organized by MeteoSwiss with collaboration from many European centers and universities • Coordinates with COPS IOP • Overlap with E-TReC 2007

  4. MAP D-PHASE Summary of MAP D-PHASE MAP D-PHASE and COPS output domains for 2007 DOP

  5. MAP D-PHASE Summary of MAP D-PHASE • Both deterministic and low/high resolution ensembles will be run by various centers: • Ensembles: MOGREPS (UKMet), INM Multi-model (Spain), COSMO-LEPS (ECMWF), MICRO-PEPS (DWD) • Deteministic: GEM (Canada), MOLOCH (Italy), AROME (France), MM5 (Universities) • Numerous hydrological models will be run either coupled or in offline mode

  6. MAP D-PHASE Summary of MAP D-PHASE • Preliminary verification strategies: • (real time) subjective evaluation by MAP D-PHASE forecasters from MeteoSwiss • (offline) from data archive by researchers in Austria using the Vienna enhanced resolution analysis (VERA) technique • The key predictors will be related to flood forecasting, so the focus in on QPF

  7. MAP D-PHASE Deliverables MAP D-PHASE(Test Period, 26 Feb – 2 March 2007) • High resolution models (mesh size 1-3 km)run between 1 and 4 times daily • Outputs are requested hourly for 41 surface fields, and a total of 134 upper air fields (mix of model level and pressure outputs) • Gridded GRIB data will be interpolated to the D-PHASE domain and uploaded to the University of Hamburg • Generated images will be sent to the Operations Centre

  8. MAP D-PHASE Deliverables MAP D-PHASE(DOP, 1 June – 30 November 2007) • In addition to the D-PHASE domain fields, all 41 surface fields, and a total of 134 upper air fields are requested at 15 minute intervals for the COPS domain from June to August • Gridded GRIB data will be interpolated to the D-PHASE and COPS domains and uploaded to the University of Hamburg • Generated images will be sent to the Operations Centre

  9. MAP D-PHASE Status of EC Contribution • Intention for twice-daily nested (10, 2.5 km) runs over the Test Period and DOP have been presented to the MAP collaborators • Preliminary domains have been constructed • Work has begun on postprocessing: • interpolation to final grids and GRIB generation • GrADS image generation • No automation or operational consideration has been made

  10. MAP D-PHASE Status of EC Contribution Timeline for tasks involved with completing EC contribution to MAP D-PHASE project. Green – started; Yellow – in planning stage; Red – not planned

  11. MAP D-PHASE Status of EC Contribution • Specific items that need to be discussed: • Model domain and configuration • Software requirements (GRIB, GrADS) • Storage requirements (temporary / long term) • User account / special account / operational • Host machine for real-time runs • Verification / model improvement strategy (identify collaborators)

  12. Olympics Project Relationship to Olympics Project • Beijing 2008 is a WWRP Forecast Demonstration Project (B08FDP) • Both the status of the Beijing planning and the Australian support (based on Sydney 2000 experience) were presented in Vienna • Both are end-to-end systems focused on high impact events using deterministic and ensemble approaches • Offers of support were received from several European centres

  13. Olympics Project Status of the Olympics Project ?

  14. Olympics Project Next Steps for Olympics Project • Define the current status of the project • Establish a rough timeline • Meet with involved / interested parties to finalize timeline • Begin development • [Based on the Australian experience, we should have a basic system ready for operational testing sometime in 2008]

  15. Additional Information • MAP D-PHASE Links: • MeteoSwiss MAP homepagehttp://www.map.meteoswiss.ch/map-doc/dphase/dphase_info.htm • EC Contribution Presentationhttp://www.atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/rmctc/rpn_map-dphase_v2.ppt

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