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OPIUM PRODUCTION IN AFGHANISTAN: INTERNATIONAL ISSUE PROPOSAL. Ian Richardson International Studies Dept. College of Arts and Sciences Faculty Mentor: Todd Spinks International Studies Dept. Overview. Problem Statement Literature Review Proposal Counter-Drug Teams (CDTs)
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OPIUM PRODUCTION IN AFGHANISTAN: INTERNATIONAL ISSUE PROPOSAL Ian Richardson International Studies Dept. College of Arts and Sciences Faculty Mentor: Todd Spinks International Studies Dept.
Overview • Problem Statement • Literature Review • Proposal • Counter-Drug Teams (CDTs) • Key areas of focus • Key Assumptions • Questions boston.com
Problem Statement • UNODC - Afghanistan grows more opium than any other nation • 157,000 hectares in 2008 • Helmand Province • Sale of Opium funds the Taliban insurgency • Approx $439 mil. in 2007 • Taliban have become fragmented and criminalized United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime. “Afghanistan Opium Survey 2008.” http:www.unodc.org. Peters, Gretchen. Seeds of Terror: How Heroin is Bankrolling the Taliban and Al Qaeda. New York: St. Martin’s Press, 2009.
Problem Statement • Growth of legal crops is no longer feasible • Economic limitations • Infrastructure limitations • Experience limitations • Hawala – Informal financial networks • Utilized by criminal periphery • Difficulty monitoring flow of currency Medler, James D. “Afghan Heroin: Terrain, Tradition, and Turmoil” Foreign Policy Research Institute, (Spring, 2005): 275-291. Maimbo, Samuel Munzele. “Money Exchange Dealers of Kabul: A Study of the Hawala System in Afghanistan.” Finance and Private Sector Unit South Asia Region. Washington, D.C.: World Bank, June 2003.
Literature Review • Experts Agree: • Links between Taliban and Opium traffickers are genuine • Extermination is not effective • Several proposed solutions…
Literature Review • “Security First” Mentality: • Illicit activities flourish in insecure societies • Security and rule of law should be the main priority • Opium issue should not be addressed until this is achieved • Can security be attained? United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime. “Afghanistan Opium Survey 2008.” http:www.unodc.org. Winer, Jonathan M. “Countering Terrorist Finance: A Work, Mostly in Progress.” The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science no. 618 (2008). Emery, James. “Opium, Afghanistan’s Other War.” The World and I 22, no. 10 (Oct 2007) [1] Chouvy, Pierre-Arnaud and Laurent R. Laniel. “Agricultural Drug Economies: Cause or Alternative to Intra-State Conflicts?” Crime, Law and Social Change 48 (2007)
Literature Review • “Alternative Livelihood” Mentality • Incentivize/Subsidize legal agriculture • Build agricultural infrastructure • Educate farmers on alternatives to Opium Poppy • Problems: • Indefinite subsidies • Interferes with development of independent Afghan economy Medler, James D. “Afghan Heroin: Terrain, Tradition, and Turmoil” Foreign Policy Research Institute, (Spring, 2005) International Crisis Group. “Countering Afghanistan’s Insurgency: No Quick Fixes.” Asia report no. 123, November 2, 2006, http://www.crisisgroup.org/home/index.cfm?id=4568.
Proposal • Counter-Drug Teams • Modeled after Afghan PRTs • Structure of CDTs based on three key focus areas • Targeting Criminals and Drug Traffickers • Offering Alternative Crops • Obstructing the Flow of Drug Money
Targeting Criminals and Drug Traffickers • CIA, DEA, DoD • Utilize technologies to pursue key individuals • Create human networks to gather intelligence • Kill or capture targets for trial in Afghan justice system • CDT Commander will be a senior military officer
Offer Alternative Crops • USAID and USDA • Provide funds and materials to rebuild infrastructure and incentivize legal agriculture • Provide expertise and education on effective and responsible agricultural practices
Obstructing the Flow of Drug Money • US Dept. of the Treasury, Office of Terrorism and Financial Intelligence (OFTI) • Locate, track and cut off lanes for illegal funds • Cooperate with Hawaladars and local govs. to update and formalize money lending • Create a national Hawaladar licensing body • Maintain traditional trust-based money lending network
Key Assumptions • Support of the Military • Necessary for security, basing and transportation • Personnel needs will be met • Approx. 670 individuals (not including DoD) • No further deterioration of security • CDTs need a relatively secure environment • Discretion of CDT Commander is crucial • Price of Opium remains stable • Spike in farm-gate prices • Caches and stores must be located
Review • Problem Statement • Literature Review • Proposal • Counter-Drug Teams (CDTs) • Key areas of focus • Key Assumptions http://politicspeaksvalleys.files.wordpress.com/2009/03/afghan-opium-polytricks.jpg