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AHS and Later-Life Mobility

This research study explores later-life mobility trends by utilizing the American Housing Survey (AHS) longitudinal structure. By analyzing housing unit data, the study aims to capture and understand the factors influencing mobility among older adults. The study also addresses concerns of undersampling short stays and proposes the use of backtracking to observe completed stays. Additionally, the study investigates the duration choices for later-life mobility and how they are influenced by various factors such as reduced savings, the Great Recession, and changes in the nature of work. The findings provide insights into the unique challenges faced by baby boomers and highlight the need for further research on generation-mixing and retirement vs. labor-market attachment.

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AHS and Later-Life Mobility

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  1. AHS and Later-Life Mobility Miranda Dietz & Larry A. Rosenthal Goldman School of Public Policy UC-Berkeley

  2. Motivation:Aging-In-Place and Real Estate Markets • Boomers Are Different! No Sun City for Us • Hunch: Census Data Too Shallow To Capture Genuine Mobility Trends • Exploration: Can AHS Longitudinal Structure For Housing Units Shed More Light?

  3. Strategy For Capturing Mobility In AHS • Ask All Householders in 2009:“When Did You Move In To This Place?” • Believe Their Answer! (Trust Recollection By Year) • More Important: Trust Recollection By Month • Problem: Don’t Know How Long Current Respondent Will Stay In The Future (“Right Censoring”) • Solution: Use Prior Biannual AHS Draws, By Unit, To Observe Completed Stays (“Backtracking”) • Concern: We Might Be Undersampling Short Stays (E.g., Arrivals-Departures Between Surveys)

  4. “Backtracking”

  5. AHS Mobility: Different Story

  6. Average Durations (HH-ers Over 40)

  7. Dispersion of Duration (HH-ers Over 40)

  8. Median Durations by Generation (Movers and Non-Movers)

  9. Comparing Movers and “Stayers”

  10. Mobility Over Age 40

  11. Example of Life Table (Duration of Stay)

  12. Closing Thoughts • Mobility vs. “Aging-In-Place”:AHS Provides A Unique Glimpse • Causes For Later-Life Duration Choice:More Complicated • Boomers Constrained By Reduced Savings, The Great Recession, AndThe Changing Nature of Work • Additional Research: • Generation-Mixing (“Hosting”) • Retirement vs. Continuing Labor-Market Attachment

  13. Thank you. http://urbanpolicy.berkeley.edu

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