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Introduction to Econometrics

Introduction to Econometrics. Lecture 6 Testing restrictions. Lecture plan. Testing restrictions about individual parameters groups of parameters. t-tests for individual parameters zero value under H 0 Some other value under H 0. F-tests for groups of parameters

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Introduction to Econometrics

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  1. Introduction to Econometrics Lecture 6 Testing restrictions

  2. Lecture plan • Testing restrictions about • individual parameters • groups of parameters • t-tests for individual parameters • zero value under H0 • Some other value under H0 • F-tests for groups of parameters • the overall significance of a regression • group exclusion tests • other linear restrictions

  3. Testing restrictions: example cases Consider a simple log-linear demand function with 3 seasonal dummies lnQi = b0 + b1 lnPi + b2 lnYi +1D1i + 2D2i+ 3D3i+ui As well as the overall F test: b1 =b2=1=2=3=0 and standard individual t tests of zero values for individual parameters you might want to test (i) 1=2=3=0 (the seasonal effects can be excluded) or (ii) b1 = -1 (the price elasticity of demand is -1) These tests can be conducted using an F test or a t test respectively

  4. Testing restrictions: example cases Now consider a simple log-linear (Cobb-Douglas) production function lnQi = b0 + b1 lnLi + b2 lnKi + ui As well as the overall F test: b1 =b2=0 and standard individual t tests of zero values for individual parameters you might want to test b1 + b2= 1 (constant returns to scale) Here you can use an F test to test this restriction.

  5. t-tests of non-zero parameter values

  6. F tests of zero restrictions(group exclusion tests)

  7. F tests of other linear restrictions

  8. The F value and decision rule • F cal = [RSSR- RSSU]/m • RSSU/(n-k-1) • where m is the number of restrictions • RSSRis the Residual Sum of Squares in the restricted model • RSSuis the Residual Sum of Squares in the unrestricted model • H0: restrictions are valid • Decision rule: • reject H0 if Fcal > F(m,n-k-1) or if Pvalue < 0.05 • accept H0 if Fcal < F(m,n-k-1) or if Pvalue > 0.05

  9. Imposing restrictions by • reparameterising the model (incorporating the restriction by substitution and then rearranging the equation) • using Restricted Least Squares

  10. Other issues concerning testing restrictions • testing for parameter constancy - the Chow test • testing non-linear restrictions • tests to choose between non-nestedmodels

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