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Changing Patterns of Intergenerational Transfers and Life-Cycle Consumption in Finland and Sweden 1990-2006. The 3rd EuroNTA Workshop 28 October 2010 Institute for Future Studies Stockholm, Sweden Marja Riihelä, Government Institute for Economic Research
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Changing Patterns of Intergenerational Transfers and Life-Cycle Consumption in Finland and Sweden 1990-2006 The 3rd EuroNTA Workshop 28 October 2010 Institute for Future Studies Stockholm, Sweden Marja Riihelä, Government Institute for Economic Research Risto Vaittinen, Finnish Centre for Pensions Reijo Vanne, Finnish Pension Alliance Jovan Zamac, Inst. For Future Studies, Stockholm
Contents • Age structure of the population 1900 - 2050 • Real growth and labor force and employment rates 1975 - 2007 • Aggregate LCD and its finance 1975-2007 • Labor income, consumption and LCD by age 1990 and 2006 • LCD and components of its finance by age group 1990 - 2006
Dependency ratio 1900-2050 in Finland …”yesterday when we were young”, Sweden used to be the oldest country in the world
Working-aged and employed persons as % of pop in 1975–2009 in Fin and Swe Source: Statistics Finland and Sweden
Aggregate LCD as percentage of aggregate labor income in Finland and Sweden 1975 – 2007 Business cycle based changes and one structural change in Finland? Sources: Statistics Finland, own calculations, NTA database
Private and public asset-based reallocations in Finland…higher asset income and private saving
Labor income and consumption by age in 1990 and 2006 in Finland
1990 2006 Labor income and consumption sums by age as percentage of aggregate labor income in 1990 and 2006 including decomposition of the LCD change to demographic, behavioral and policy effects LCD diff=Dem+Beh&Pol14=6+8 22 %
Labor income and consumption by age in 1990, 1993, 2006 Sweden